After the fall of longtime tyrant Bashar al-Assad’s decades-long rule, which is being hailed as “miraculous” by military experts, hope is brewing that a similar revolution can happen in Iran’s oppressive dictatorship as well.

“The Iranians have taken a huge hit here,” Chris Doyle, director of the Council for Arab-British Understanding, explains to Iran International. “It’s certainly ripped up that important corridor it relied on, from Iran to the Mediterranean. Syria now will be a country not in Iran’s control. Iran will lose a lot of assets they’ve invested in, properties they took over won’t remain Iranian.”

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“It will be inspiring many people across the region to see what Syria has done, and that will be unnerving for the Iranian regime,” he said.

Furthermore, Syria’s stunning collapse in less than a week comes amid a series of catastrophic setbacks for Iran’s regional terror proxies. Israel’s military campaign has decimated Hamas in Gaza, while Hezbollah has suffered devastating losses in Lebanon, including the death of its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah.

For Israel, Assad’s fall represents a historic opportunity despite concerns about chemical weapons and missiles falling into extremist hands. Ehud Yaari, an Israeli fellow at The Washington Institute, argued it’s “time to celebrate” the dynasty’s end, noting rebel leaders have already expressed willingness to cooperate with international organizations on securing Assad’s weapons stockpiles.

With its network of terror allies in shambles and the prospect of a Trump presidency promising renewed “maximum pressure,” Iranian dissidents can see fresh possibility for change in their own country, where the Islamic Republic has held power since 1979.

“It signals the collapse of its ‘Axis of Resistance’ which has been the mainstay of Khamenei’s policy during most of his decades-long term as Supreme Leader,” says Arash Azizi, a visiting fellow at Boston University, to Iran International. “Khamenei already had problems saving face given the massive blows the Axis received in the last year but this leaves him further humiliated and isolated.”

According to Azizi, factions seeking accommodation with the West “will try to get a deal with Trump at any price that might get them some respite.” However, he cautions that Iran’s opposition must overcome its current disorganization to fully capitalize on the regime’s moment of weakness.

“The Iranian opposition could have used this as an excellent opportunity to act against the regime but it’s extremely disorganized and thus not able to,” he said. “Its hope will rest on spontaneous movements from the Iranian people — which can never be predicted but is always possible.”

    A December 10, 2024 3:27 pm

    I worry over the large Jewish population still existing there.

    PDave December 11, 2024 8:53 am

    When Trump starts his presidency, he can reinstitute the sanctions AND join Israel in bombing the nuclear facilities. Maybe then the “opposition” will become organized to topple monstrous ayatollahs.

    PDave December 11, 2024 8:57 am

    When Trump starts his presidency, he can reinstitute the sanctions AND join Israel in bombing the nuclear facilities. Maybe then the “opposition” will become organized to topple the monstrous ayatollahs.

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